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Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October

From housing economist Tom Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in OctoberBased on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million in October, down 0.4% from September’s preliminary pace but up 2.

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Your 2 Step Recipe to Creating an ROI Partnership

Editor’s Intro: One thing I learned fairly early in my market research supplier career is that the best business relationships are “win-win”:  if we can make our clients look good, if we can help them demonstrate positive impact on their business through our research, it will lead to more business for us too.

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Finding the Best Ticket Price – Simple Web Scraping with Python

One of my favorite parts of the summer is attending music festivals. Most festivals offer “early bird” tickets for a significantly lower price than general admission, however they typically sell out well before the actual event. Whether it is laziness, lack of money, or just plain stupidity I never seem to purchase these early bird tickets on time and have to look to different options.

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Oh, There’s A Pricing Thing Going On Here

Here was our business from yesterday … and it’s clear that volume shifted out of early November into the Cyber Monday window.But what about pricing issues? Did this company discount everything, or did this company do something clever to manage Cyber Monday?Let’s look at the average price per item sold:November = $21.26.Thanksgiving – Cyber Monday = $21.38.December = $21.

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ICLR 2019 Thoughts

ICLR 2019 was reminiscent of the early NeurIPS days (sans skiing): a single track of talks, vibrant poster sessions, and a large mid-day break. The Tuesday morning talks were on climate change, modeling proteins, generating music, and modeling the visual cortex. Except for climate change, these were all hot topics at NeurIPS in the late 1990s. History doesn’t repeat, but it does rhyme.

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A New Truth Mechanism

Early in 2017 I reported:
This week Nature published some empirical data on a surprising-popularity consensus mechanism. The idea is to ask people to pick from several options, and also to have each person forecast the distribution of opinion among others. … Compared to prediction markets, this mechanism doesn’t require that those who run the mechanism actually know the truth later.

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